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Leslie McIntyre

Quicklet on Nassim Taleb's The Black Swan (CliffNotes-like Book Summary and Analysis)

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  • b4214312217compartió una citahace 5 años
    The story illustrates the folly of looking to the past in order to predict the future.
  • Victor Butenkocompartió una citahace 5 años
    says, results in a distortion bias, “the difference between what you see and what is there
  • Victor Butenkocompartió una citahace 5 años
    narrative fallacy addresses our limited ability to look at sequences of facts without weaving an explanation into them
  • Victor Butenkocompartió una citahace 5 años
    round-trip fallacy, the human tendency to conflate two similar-sounding statements that are in fact convey very different information.
  • Oslik Daucompartió una citahace 7 años
    Taleb encourages readers to maximize their exposure to potential positive Black Swans by putting themselves in situations (like social gatherings) that have the potential to produce fortuitous encounters. And
  • Oslik Daucompartió una citahace 7 años
    barbell strategy advocates for, “taking maximum exposure to the positive Black Swans
  • Oslik Daucompartió una citahace 7 años
    taking maximum exposure to the positive Black Swans while remaining paranoid about the negative ones
  • Oslik Daucompartió una citahace 7 años
    “[k]now how to rank beliefs not according to their plausibility but to the harm they may cause
  • Oslik Daucompartió una citahace 7 años
    his vision of utopia as an epistemocracy, “[A] society governed from the basis of awareness of ignorance, not knowledge
  • Oslik Daucompartió una citahace 7 años
    In the beginner’s mind there are many possibilities, but in the expert’s there are few.
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