bookmate game

Howard Raiffa

  • Вадим Мазурcompartió una citahace 2 años
    You know success depends on making smart choices
  • Вадим Мазурcompartió una citahace 2 años
    An effective decision-making process will fulfill these six criteria:

    • It focuses on what’s important.

    • It is logical and consistent.

    • It acknowledges both subjective and objective factors and blends analytical with intuitive thinking.

    • It requires only as much information and analysis as is necessary to resolve a particular dilemma.

    • It encourages and guides the gathering of relevant information and informed opinion.

    • It is straightforward, reliable, easy to use, and flexible
  • Вадим Мазурcompartió una citahace 2 años
    The first five— Problem, Objectives, Alternatives, Consequences, and Tradeoffs— constitute the core of our approach and are applicable to virtually any decision.
  • Вадим Мазурcompartió una citahace 2 años
    The greatest danger in formulating a decision problem is laziness. It’s easy to state the problem in the most obvious way, or in the way that first pops into your mind, or in the way it’s always been stated in the past.
  • Вадим Мазурcompartió una citahace 2 años
    Why am I even considering it?
  • Вадим Мазурcompartió una citahace 2 años
    Remember that defining your decision problem is itself a decision problem, the resolution of which will profoundly influence your ultimate choice
  • Вадим Мазурcompartió una citahace 2 años
    But in 99 out of 100 cases, spending extra time defining the problem pays off handsomely in the end. It increases the odds that you’ll make the smart choice.
  • Вадим Мазурcompartió una citahace 2 años
    What do you really need?
  • Вадим Мазурcompartió una citahace 2 años
    What do you really want?
  • Вадим Мазурcompartió una citahace 2 años
    What are your hopes?
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